CBS News “Battleground Tracker” poll released Sunday shows Sanders trailing behind Clinton by 19% point (Clinton 59% vs. Sanders 40%). Two other polls by ARG and NBC showed Sanders trailing by 38% (65% vs. 25%) and 37% (64% vs. 27%) point respectively. CBS poll shows that he has narrowed the gap by 15% point. Yet, average of the three polls give a Clinton lead by 31.4%.
The poll shows that Sanders has shortcomings in recognition. Only 44 % of respondents agreed that they know him “very well,” compared to 70% who said the same of Clinton.
It shows that Sanders has shortcomings in the preparedness for the president’s job. Only 51 percent of respondents saying he is “ready” to be commander in chief, compared to 80 percent who said the same of Clinton.
However, the CBS poll finds that Sanders is still seen as the more trustworthy candidate, with 75% of respondents saying he is “honest and trustworthy,” compared to 60% saying the same about Clinton.
The poll, which surveyed 1,315 registered voters online from Feb. 10 – 12, has a margin of error of 8.7 percent.
Latest Nevada Poll conducted by TargetPoint between Feb2-10
shows a “tie” with both Clinton and Sanders pulling 45% of the votes. Earlier in December, poll
conducted by Gravis showed Clinton leading by 23% point (Clinton 50% vs.
Sanders 27%). But, that was long ago. Latest polls are better representative of
current situation and therefore, December poll result does not count. For the
same time factor, average of February and December poll results is not
representative of the current facts and does not count. Taking these points
into consideration, the current Nevada ground reality is Clinton’s lead has
ultimately evaporated and there is a “tie” because Sanders has made his case
which has rung true into the minds of Nevada voters, i.e. the Nevadians are
“feeling the bern”.
From left, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Harry Reid and Bernie Sanders appear during a Nevada state party caucus dinner on Jan. 6, 2016. | AP Photo
This tie in Nevada will neutralize the effect of a possible Clinton win in
South Carolina and will bring the situation in favour of Sanders in that it will
inspire Sanders camp to run campaign more enthusiastically and aggressively. This
newly found enthusiasm might give Sanders campaign overwhelming momentum.
Nevada tie also confirms a “nationwide tie” predicted by
Quinnipiac Poll which was conducted between Feb 2- Feb 4. It is notable that
both the TargetPoint Nevada poll and Quinnipiac nationwide poll were carried
out relatively in the same period, i.e. between Feb 2- Feb 10, and so are
highly likely to have a correlation in that the first confirms the later.
From February 2 - 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,125
registered voters of which 484 were Democrats and 507 were Republicans. The
poll result released on 5 February 2016 shows that Dem race is tied, but
Sanders runs better against GOP; U.S. Republicans want Trump, but Rubio is best
in November.
The Quinnipiac poll also predicted that if former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg runs, he hurts Sanders more than he hurts any of the top Republican contenders. Michael Bloomberg has recently announced that he is seriously considering White House bid.
Given the neck-and-neck competitive mood of the race, if
Sanders camp could secure enough minority votes so as to neutralize the effect
of Clinton’s upper hand in the minority vote bank, the Democratic nomination
can be achieved with ease. Or else, an uncertainty will always loom which could
overturn all other calculations.
